Articles & Reports
2021
Djibouti COVID-19 Economic Recovery Plan
Leading the formulation of the Djibouti COVID-19 Socio-Economic Impact Assessment (SEIA) and Economic Recovery Program, layout out a five year investment framework approved by the President and Parliament.
2019
Making Markets Work for Sustainable Wildlife
Making Markets Work for Sustainable Wildlife Economies, financed by the Lion’s Share Trust Fund, Environmental Investigation Agency and CI. Focus on economic evidence for new approaches to value investing.
2018
EU Engagement in the Red Sea
Lead a policy and operational study for the EU DG DEV on options for EU engagement in the Red Sea Region, focused on the Gulf States and Horn of Africa. With Amba Tadaa and Christian Chira,
2020 - 2021
Djibouti COVID-19 Economic Recovery Plan
Leading the formulation of the Djibouti COVID-19 Socio-Economic Impact Assessment (SEIA) and Economic Recovery Program for the Government and UNDP, a five year multi-sector investment program approved by the Cabinet and Parliament.
2008
Right-Financing Security Sector Reform
In the wake of violent conflict, a key element of building a durable peace is building a state with the ability to collect and manage public resources. The concept of right-financing emerged from the OECD Security Sector Goveranance Guideline.
2012
This paper answers three questions: (i) how can liberalization be classified; (ii) how have liberalization policies affected conflict-affected and fragile states; and (iii) what are the essential preconditions to manage the liberalization-fragility interface?
I have been writing about international relations, national security, economic growth, public sector reform and the forth industrial revolution for over two decades. Most of my work is not public, but I provide samples of work undertaken below of particular interest reflective of issues of interest to me.
2023
This report looks at the impact of the war in Ukraine on current and future energy, food, and material prices as well as growth, and fiscal and institutional spending futures; as a strategic foresight exercise.
2022
The role of the Integrated National Financing Framework (INFF) is central to aligning national priorities with available financing resources. Indonesia started (pioneered) the INFF process in 2019, establishing the scoping mission in 2020 and the assessment process in 2021.
2022
For the UNDP Sustainable Finance Hub (SFH) with Suren Poghosyan, Clay Wescott, Nohman Ishtiaq and Gábor Péteri, a Strategic Budgeting Handbook for the Sustainable Development Goals.
2021
Djibouti COVID-19 Economic Recovery Plan
Leading the formulation of the Djibouti COVID-19 Socio-Economic Impact Assessment (SEIA) and Economic Recovery Program, layout out a five year investment framework approved by the President and Parliament.
2020
ADB Fragility Assessment of Afghanistan
Commissioned by ADB to support the country team in developing the fragility assessment for Afghanistan, to feed into the next generation of investments linked to transport, natural resources, agriculture and energy.
2018
EU Engagement in the Red Sea
Lead a policy and operational study for the EU DG DEV on options for EU engagement in the Red Sea Region, focused on the Gulf States and Horn of Africa. With Amba Tadaa and Christian Chira,
2014
Commissioned by the World bank, the report outlines options for transition and sustainability of the National Solidarity Program (NSP ) in the light of the Tokyo Mutual Accountability Framework (TMAF), the forthcoming Decade of Transformation.
2012
This paper answers three questions: (i) how can liberalization be classified; (ii) how have liberalization policies affected conflict-affected and fragile states; and (iii) what are the essential preconditions to manage the liberalization-fragility interface?
2008
In the light of our work with the OECD DAC on the Global Security Sector Governance Guideline, this paper with CIC - NYU builds on the original framework for right-financing, drilling down into implications for security sector reform.
2020
The current diplomatic crisis bedeviling the relationship between Somalia and Kenya is a paradox; it is both unstoppable and unsustainable!
The diplomatic rift sadly comes at a time when both countries are facing strong social & economic headwinds.
2012
Lead expert on the Arab Stabilization Plan led by Majid H.Jafar. The ASP is a direct policy response to the job crisis facing the Arab World, with 17 million people unemployed. Unemployment in the MENA region is a central driver of recent instability.
November 2 2005
Coordinated the US$ 28 billion international community post conflict needs assessment for the World Bank, presented for the international conference for H.E Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah Abdullah, covering political, securty, economic and social issues.
January 27 2006
Article for Foreign Policy in Focus (FPIF) drilling down into lessons in post conflict reconstruction, with John Gershman and Sharon Miller. Article focuses on the Afghanistan Compact we we fashioned together for the United Nations.
January 27 2006
Article for Foreign Policy in Focus (FPIF) with John Gershman and Sharon Miller exposes the systemic fragility of the post-conflict Afghanistan, in advance of the 2006 London Conference on Afghanistan. Articles looks at pitfalls.
November 2 2005
With Mark Sedra and John Gershman, the article examines the security situation in Afghanistan as being volatile, with regional posturing intensifying, and the US signaling that troop withdrawals are imminent, Transition is fragile and uncertain.
2006
In recent years, international organizations have concluded that standard principles of Public Finance Management (PFM) are equally applicable to all areas of the national budget, including the security sector. This paper looks at Afghanistan.
2005
Unemployment remains a congenital problem facing many parts of sub-Saharan Africa. In the absence of viable economic alternatives, governments often turn to labor intensive public works programs as social safety nets .
2002
Doctoral thesis at the University of Durham on the social protection and economic development policy and institutional landscape in Ethiopia and Maharashtra, assessing impacts on economic growth, employment, and environmental sustainability.